Issue No. 947

Published 13 Apr

Allies Spar in Somalia: What Could Be Driving the Türkiye-Uganda Spat? New

Published on 13 Apr 16:31 min

Allies Spar in Somalia: What Could Be Driving the Türkiye-Uganda Spat?


Over the weekend, a flurry of viral posts on X (formerly Twitter) highly critical of Türkiye by the Ugandan army chief risked tipping the three-way relations between Somalia, Türkiye, and Uganda into a new tailspin. General Muhoozi - the son of Ugandan President Yoweri K. Museveni and the Chief of the Ugandan People's Defence Forces (UPDF) - accused Türkiye of disrespect, threatened to pull troops out of Somalia, and further demanded USD 1 billion in compensation from Ankara. Although the posts were deleted on Sunday, the storm the comments generated has not died down.

Gen. Muhoozi is no stranger to controversy. He relishes stepping on toes and likes to court publicity with his sometimes-outrageous and robust commentaries on X. Not everything he says is politically correct; loved and loathed in equal measure, his supporters praise his openness and candor, while critics call him "unhinged," preferring to psychologise his brand and style of populist politics.

Regarding the specific substance of his anti-Türkiye posts, there are reasonable grounds to believe he may have been articulating accumulated Ugandan grievances from the last year - especially frustrations related to the two states' security and counterinsurgency partnership in Somalia - but perhaps also concerns over the current trajectory of the Horn of Africa state.

On Friday, the Turkish deep-sea drilling vessel, the Cagri Bey, docked at the Port of Mogadishu in what was billed as a seminal event marking Somalia’s transition toward the exploration and extraction of offshore hydrocarbon resources. Speaking at the colorful event on the dockside, with the Cagri Bey calmly anchored against the turquoise blue waters of the Indian Ocean, the Turkish Petroleum Minister, Alparslan Bayraktar, emphasized the solidity of the strategic partnership between Mogadishu and Ankara and promised the oil and gas project would soon enter the active commercial drilling phase.

Gen. Muhoozi’s invective on X, coinciding with Friday’s formal ceremony, played badly on Somali streets and triggered a media backlash in Türkiye. A day later, on Saturday, Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud (HSM) used a speech on the occasion of Army Day to respond to the Ugandan general. HSM struck a diplomatic tone, acknowledging Uganda’s contributions to Somalia’s security and thanking the UPDF for their unstinting support despite reduced international funding. He even went further, noting how Uganda was forced to use its own resources to replace military equipment damaged in combat.

On the future of the Ugandan troop presence, the Somali president was clear: the SNA, he said, was now capable of taking over the full security functions of the UPDF. "It is now time for us to say to the Ugandans ‘thank you’ and ma’asalaam" (an Arabic/Islamic phrase that can loosely be translated as goodbye).

The latest escalated exchange of rhetoric between these allies in the counterinsurgency war in Somalia speaks to the simmering tensions between Uganda on one side and Somalia and its key ally, Turkiye, on the other - a spat that could morph into a crisis unless speedily resolved.

While HSM expresses confidence in Somalia's readiness for the withdrawal of Ugandan forces, the reality on the ground suggests a hasty exit could trigger a grave security crisis. Somalia's current stability depends heavily on UPDF assistance.

With over 8,000 bilateral troops and 4,500 under AUSSOM, Uganda is the largest troop-contributing country in Somalia. A sudden withdrawal would likely lead to a collapse of security in and around Mogadishu, where Ugandan forces protect critical infrastructure like the port and airport. The diplomatic community at the Halane Complex remains apprehensive about transferring security to Somali forces, given the persistent issue of Al-Shabaab infiltration.

Frustrations have mounted following 'Operation Silent Storm' in late 2025. While the UPDF successfully cleared militants from key bridge towns along the Shabelle River, they suffered heavy casualties. From Kampala's perspective, the operation was made more difficult by a perceived lack of ground support from partners like Türkiye, despite their aerial assistance. General Muhoozi’s recent anti-Türkiye comments likely stem from this experience, where Ugandan troops bore the brunt of the combat while other nations received disproportionate credit.

The situation is further complicated by the non-arrival of a promised Egyptian deployment and the exit of Burundian forces after their mandate was not renewed. Kampala feels its troops are carrying a disproportionate burden - not only in active combat against fortified Al-Shabaab positions but also in holding territory for the Somali National Army.

The Ugandan general's ire is driven by both the grim tactical situation and an official narrative that downplays Ugandan sacrifices in favor of Turkish and Egyptian support. However, by deleting his recent posts on X, Gen. Muhoozi may be signaling a desire to de-escalate and engage in substantive dialogue with Somali and Turkish interlocutors to address these outstanding issues.

Somalia’s partners, who have a stake in keeping the status quo, should nudge all sides to desist from public recriminations and instead invest in dialogue to smooth relations and boost cooperation to keep pressure on Al-Shabaab.
 

The Somali Wire Team

To continue reading, create a free account or log in.

Gain unlimited access to all our Editorials. Unlock Full Access to Our Expert Editorials — Trusted Insights, Unlimited Reading.

Create your Sahan account Login

Unlock lifetime access to all our Premium editorial content

You may also be interested in

Issue No. 947
Allies Spar in Somalia: What Could Be Driving the Türkiye-Uganda Spat?
The Somali Wire

Over the weekend, a flurry of viral posts on X (formerly Twitter) highly critical of Türkiye by the Ugandan army chief risked tipping the three-way relations between Somalia, Türkiye, and Uganda into a new tailspin. General Muhoozi - the son of Ugandan President Yoweri K. Museveni and the Chief of the Ugandan People's Defence Forces (UPDF) - accused Türkiye of disrespect, threatened to pull troops out of Somalia, and further demanded USD 1 billion in compensation from Ankara. Although the posts were deleted on Sunday, the storm the comments generated has not died down.


16:31 min read 13 Apr
Issue No. 946
The Reckoning: Breakdown of Somalia’s Third Republic
The Somali Wire

The 19th-century Russian novelist Fyodor Dostoevsky wrote in his novel, The Brothers Karamazov: “Above all, do not lie to yourself. A man who lies to himself and listens to his own lie comes to a point where he does not discern any truth either in himself or anywhere around him.” In Somalia today, we are suffering because our head of state has lied to himself so much so, that Dostoevsky had alluded to, he has reached a point where he does not discern any truth either in himself or anywhere around him. However, before we delve into the nature or purpose of the lie and its grave national, regional, and international consequences, a bit of history is warranted on Somalia as a nation-state.


18:55 min read 10 Apr
Issue No. 124
A Trade That Won't Die
The Horn Edition

In September 2025, Feisal Mohammed Ali was arrested for possession and trading in two rhino horns worth USD 63,000. This was not the first time that this smuggler had seen the bars of a Kenyan prison cell. On 22 July 2016, Feisal - described as an “ivory smuggling kingpin” - received a 20-year prison sentence and fined USD 150,000 for dealing 314 pieces of ivory. Weighing over two tonnes, the ivory was estimated to have come from around 120 elephants. Hailed as a turning point in Kenya’s pioneering crackdown on Illegal Wildlife Trade (IWT), Feisal’s incarceration became proof of the country’s commitment to safeguarding its wildlife. This frail pillar came crashing down in August 2018 when Feisal was released following the acquittal of his sentence due to alleged use of tampered evidence by the prosecution.


30:03 min read 09 Apr
Issue No. 945
The Baidoa Electoral Heist - The Turkish Connection
The Somali Wire

On Monday, a politician widely regarded as Ankara’s primary proxy in Somalia was inaugurated as a Member of Parliament (MP) under circumstances that Somali citizens and political observers are denouncing as a brazen institutional theft. This unprecedented case of electoral misconduct occurs in the twilight of the current parliament’s mandate, signaling a deep-seated crisis in legislative integrity.


6:32 min read 08 Apr
Issue No. 326
Ethiopia Grinds to a Halt
The Ethiopian Cable

The sparks from the Middle East's conflagration have set Ethiopia's laboured fuel industry ablaze, and the country is grinding to a halt. Ongoing geopolitical and fiscal shocks emanating from the US/Israel war with Iran—and the spill-over across the Gulf—have left few regions untouched. With no satisfactory end in sight, the decades-old—if creaking—US-underpinned security architectThe sparks from the Middle East's conflagration have set Ethiopia's laboured fuel industry ablaze, and the country is grinding to a halt. Ongoing geopolitical and fiscal shocks emanating from the US/Israel war with Iran—and the spill-over across the Gulf—have left few regions untouched. With no satisfactory end in sight, the decades-old—if creaking—US-underpinned security architecture in the Middle East has been upended, as have the globalised hydrocarbon networks that long served as the financial lifeblood of energy-importing states.


33:50 min read 07 Apr
Issue No. 123
Another Election and Djibouti's Succession Problem
The Horn Edition

Apathy pervades the Djiboutian population. A week tomorrow, on April 10, the country will head to the polls, with President Ismaïl Omar Guelleh seeking a 6th— essentially uncontested — term in office. With his coronation inevitable, his family's dynastic rule over this rentier city-state will be extended once more. But in a region wracked by armed conflict and geopolitical contestation, the ageing Guelleh's capacity to manage the familial, ethnic, and regional fractures within and without grows ever more complicated. And Djibouti's apparent stability is no product of institutional strength, but rather an increasingly fractious balance of external rents and coercive control-- underpinned by geopolitical relevance.


23:43 min read 02 Apr
Issue No. 944
Türkiye's Deepwater Reach in Somalia
The Somali Wire

In the 17th century, the Ottoman polymath Kâtip Çelebi penned 'The Gift to the Great on Naval Campaigns', a great tome that analysed the history of Ottoman naval warfare at a moment when Constantinople sought to reclaim maritime supremacy over European powers.


21:14 min read 01 Apr
Issue No. 325
Dammed If They Do
The Ethiopian Cable

Why have one mega-dam when you can have three more? Details are scarce, but Ethiopia has unveiled plans to build three more dams on the Blue Nile, just a few months after the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) was completed.


14:12 min read 31 Mar
Issue No. 943
Baidoa Falls and Federal Power Prevails
The Somali Wire

Villa Somalia has prevailed in Baidoa. After weeks of ratcheting tensions, South West State President Abdiaziz Laftagareen proved a paper tiger this morning, unable to resist the massed forces backed by Mogadishu. After several hours of fighting, Somali National Army (SNA) forces and allied Rahanweyne militias now control most of Baidoa and, thus, the future of South West. In turn, Laftagareen is believed to have retreated to the protection of the Ethiopian military at Baidoa's airport, with the bilateral forces having avoided the conflict today.


18 min read 30 Mar
Scroll