Echoes of 1990 in Mogadishu Stadium
In July 1990, in the twilight months of Siyaad Barre's faltering junta, ugly scenes descended on a football match at Mogadishu Stadium. Crowds, furious at the state of the nation and the patent lies being told that day-- including that one of the teams hailed from devastated Bur'o in northwest Somalia— began to hurl stones towards the president, before his forces opened fire indiscriminately on the crowd, killing dozens. Last Thursday, discontent again bubbled over in the rebuilt stadium during government celebrations at a Teachers' Day event attended by President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and a coterie of senior government individuals.
Organised by the Education Ministry, the 65,000-seater stadium was packed with government staff, teachers, and students bused in from across the capital. On the face of it, the day was to celebrate Somalia's teachers and academic institutions, so often either under attack or control by Al-Shabaab, as well as the varied Islamist movements that dominate the education system in Somalia today. But in scenes reminiscent of July 1990 —though far less bloody —sections of the crowd began protesting midway through Hassan Sheikh's keynote address, tearing up seats and chanting anti-Villa Somalia slogans, including "we don't want 'Hassan the Thief'." Security forces subsequently intervened to 'restore order', firing live ammunition to disperse the seething crowd, injuring at least one person in the melee and forcing the president to halt his address. Thankfully, no one has been reported killed, with the potential for misjudgment and escalation exceptionally high in such a scenario.
Before the disruption, Hassan Sheikh's speech had sought to reassert his professorial credentials as an educator, as well as his beleaguered government's support for the education sector. Referring to Somali teachers as the "backbone of national progress," he stated that the "most valuable people in this nation are the Somali teacher and the Somali soldier." And he again laid down his claim that "10,000 teachers" were to be recruited, of which 6,000 had been hired and positioned across the country. Leaving aside the corrupt morass that remains the Somali National Army, the nation's education system is in similarly dire straits, not helped by the meddling in academia and education by the president's Damul Jadiid cabal. Rather than an ascendant sector, the education system in Somalia is a hodge-podge of Al-Shabaab-run schools, Gulf-funded madrasas, and a range of tenously state-administered institutions - most of which are run by Federal Member State governments rather than the federal Education Ministry. There are a host of other issues as well, not least the gulf in access and quality for girls, with only an estimated 25% of primary-school-aged girls attending formal schooling in 2022, which drops even further at the secondary level.
While Villa Somalia —along with rewriting the Provisional Constitution —has repeatedly placed education at the top of its agenda, the rationale behind it is decidedly far from altruistic. Since returning to power in May 2022, Hassan Sheikh and his right-hand man, Education Minister Farah Abdulkadir, have systematically eroded and dismantled the few remaining independent academic institutions within Somalia. This is a decades-long project for Abdulkadir, one of the preeminent ideologues who spearheaded the Islamisation of Somalia's curricula, instrumentalising funding pouring in from the Gulf from the late 1990s onwards into developmental and education-focused organisations. And over the years, co-education of genders, instruction in Somali, and folklore stories have been steadily eroded, simultaneously undermining the once-extensive practice of the tolerant, traditional Sufi Orders.
At the same time, Abdulkadir and Hassan Sheikh have persistently elevated generations of Islamist leaders trained at SIMAD University, founded by the incumbent president in 1999. But not content with installing loyalists throughout the civil service, Hassan Sheikh also removed Professor Osman Mohamed Mohamud as the rector of Somali National University in September, installing Mohamed Mohamud Mohamed in his place. Somali National University was one of the last remaining bastions of independent academic thought in Somalia, untethered to the country's arrayed Islamist movements. Existing in an uneasy cohabitation with the Muslim Brotherhood-dominated government, the Salafist Al-I'tisaam movement continues to exercise disproportionate influence across madrasas, mosques and universities across the Somali-speaking Horn of Africa. In turn, the amorphous Salafist movement-- the ideological twin and competitor of Al-Shabaab-- has played a prominent role in the retreat of Sufism over the years.
Notwithstanding the Islamist capture of education in Somalia, the chaotic scenes in the stadium underscored the deep unpopularity of this government as well. In Mogadishu, the profiteering Villa Somalia has burnt through a massive amount of goodwill this year by displacing tens of thousands of people from disused public land to be auctioned off. Though Hassan Sheikh and Abdulkadir might like to claim that the education budget has been tripled, so too have several schools in the capital been demolished, reportedly to make way for new commercial developments. And it goes without saying that the federal government's budget remains nearly wholly funded by external sources and foreign largesse, rather than domestic revenue mobilisation. Only a handful of teachers in Hirshabelle are actually paid for with domestic resources, for instance.
Meanwhile, successive rallies in Mogadishu against these forced displacements have been met with heavy-handed violence from government security forces, including one demonstration just last week that resulted in the death of a civilian protester. Senior Hawiye opposition figures, such as ex-President Sheikh Sherif Sheikh Ahmed, have sought to tap into this discontent, mobilising their own supporters and forces onto the streets to put pressure on the government. Fears of a 'Badbaado Qaran 2.0'—the popular uprising that forced Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo back to the negotiating table in 2021—are rife within Villa Somalia.
Nearly all governments, democratic, autocratic or the many shades in between, amplify their successes and diminish their failings, but this federal government has clung to a 'Somalia Rising' narrative divorced from reality. Venal officials unerringly claim that the defeat of Al-Shabaab is just around the corner, and that the imminent one-person, one-vote (OPOV) elections in Mogadishu will be a genuine contest. And the insistence that education has never been better in Somalia clearly stuck in the craw of the youth at the Mogadishu Stadium, over three decades on from the casuistry and oppression of the Barre regime. Then, as now, Mogadishu's incessant spin doctoring has made it nigh-impossible to trust any government narrative—and the public may have finally had enough.
The Somali Wire Team
Gain unlimited access to all our Editorials. Unlock Full Access to Our Expert Editorials — Trusted Insights, Unlimited Reading.
Create your Sahan account LoginUnlock lifetime access to all our Premium editorial content
The Federal Government of Somalia’s (FGS) strategy to assert central authority over federal states and enforce its brand of limited plebiscite – the so-called “one-person-one-vote” (OPOV) – appears to be going awry.
Delegates from Somalia's influential Darood clan family are currently gathering in Nairobi, Kenya, for a crucial "pre-conference" planning session. Driven largely by clan chiefs, the meeting is designed to formulate a unified strategy and coordinate responses to ‘fundamental issues’ (arrimo masiiri ah) within Somalia, principally centre-periphery tensions and the future of federalism. The anticipated culmination of these talks is a comprehensive Pan-Darood congress in Garowe. This development represents a rare and significant intervention, serving as a clear indicator of accelerating political polarisation and fragmentation.
Technicians and engineers have long been familiar with a paradoxical problem: how the repair of a specific defect often triggers a secondary malfunction. "Repair-induced malfunction" is a widely recognised dilemma across technical professions, with awareness and mitigation deeply woven into standard training.
I stand before you today with profound respect and appreciation for the sacrifices the sons and daughters of your countries have made in the AMISOM/ATMIS/AUSSOM missions to help their African brothers and sisters in Somalia fight the scourge of Al-Shabaab, open and maintain critical trade routes, and help in the state-building process of Somalia.
Somalia’s opposition - frustrated by months of stagnant dialogue - has for the first time proposed a transitional mechanism to break the country's protracted political deadlock. In an open letter addressed to a crucial extraordinary summit of African Troop and Police Contributing Countries (TPCCs) which opened on Wednesday in Kampala, the Somali Future Council (SFC) said that a new transitional governance arrangement was vital and necessary and is hoping the initiative will gain traction among regional actors who have boots on the ground and share a vested interest in a durable political settlement.
In a significant symbolic blow to Somali unionism, Fahiima Yusuf Quuje - a prominent Dhulbahante activist from the Jama Siyaad sub-clan who was instrumental in mobilising grassroots support for the armed insurrection in Laas Anood - late last week declared she was repudiating Somali unionism and the ‘Greater Somalia’ ideology, tendering her resignation from her regional assembly seat in the fledgling, Mogadishu-backed Northeastern State of Somalia (NES) and would be returning to Somaliland. A day after the announcement, Quuje landed at Egal International Airport in Hargeisa, where she was greeted by high-ranking dignitaries, garlanded in the Somaliland flag, and serenaded with patriotic anthems.
Today marks exactly two months since Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud (HSM) unveiled his unilateral one-year term extension. While it is too early to draw definitive conclusions, HSM has evidently survived, rebounded, and consolidated power in ways that defy earlier predictions. A leader whom many had been wont to dismiss as too tarnished to retain executive power beyond May 2026 remains firmly in the saddle, holding the political initiative and dictating terms. His opponents, meanwhile, are in deep disarray. Their cohesion is fracturing, they lack a coherent, unified strategy, and they are locked in a dialogue of attrition designed to wear down their will and force their capitulation.
The Somaliland–Ethiopia Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) was hailed as a historic breakthrough. In reality, it was a strategic gamble built on contradictions—and its apparent failure may prove to be a blessing in disguise for Somaliland and Ethiopia.
For the first time in over six decades, Somalia has overhauled its foundational criminal law - the 1962 Law No. 5. Now awaiting parliamentary and presidential approval, the Draft Somali Penal Code (SPC) nonetheless struggles with multiple hurdles and will likely face significant objection, not least, from Somalia’s Western partners and liberal-minded younger generation of Somalis disappointed with the new text’s failure to break away from its historical illiberal roots.