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Search
  • The Somali Wire 394
  • The Ethiopian Cable 31
  • The Horn Edition 31
Archive
Filter by tags
Somalia (43) Al Shabaab (37) Villa Somalia (30) Hassan Sheikh Mohamud (25) Somalia politics (17) Farmaajo (17) Puntland (17) Mogadishu (16) Ethiopia (16) Somalia elections (14) Somaliland (13) Somalia political crisis (12) Jubaland (10) AUSSOM (7) Mohamed Hussein Roble (7) Abiy Ahmed (7) Somalia security (7) Tigray (7) Eritrea (7) Kenya (7) NISA (7) Fahad Yasin (7) Sudan (6) SSC-Khaatumo (6) African Union (6) Somalia drought crisis (6) TPLF (6) Amhara (6) Horn of Africa (6) Somali politics (6) Addis (6) USAID (5) Nairobi (5) OLA (5) HSM (5) Somalia crisis (5) Somali elections (5) Horn of Africa geopolitics (5) Somali culture (5) Somalia elections 2022 (5) South Sudan (5) Politics (5) Humanitarian (4) Conflict (4) US (4) Healthcare (4) China (4) Somali National Army (4) Somalia humanitarian crisis (4) Tigray Peoples Liberation Front (4) Federalism (4) Oromo Liberation Army (4) History (4) Poetry (4) Disarmament (3) Fano (3) Somalia elections 2021 (3) Federal Government (3) Women (3) Security (3) OPOV (3) Kenya Somalia relations (3) GERD (3) Elections (3) Fighting (3) RSF (3) Qatar (3) Gulf (3) Mogadishu bombing 2022 (3) Troop Contributing Countries (3) Somali opposition (3) Villa Somalia crisis (3) Mogadishu unrest (3) Somalia electoral crisis (3) PM Roble (3) Laas Aanood (3) Turkey Somalia relations (3) Diaspora (3) Madoobe (3) Oromo Liberation Front (3) OLF (3) Oromo (3) Awdheegle (3) UPDF (3) SNA (3) Operation Silent Storm (3) Horn of Africa drought (3) Economy (3) NCC (3) Ethiopia Somalia relations (3) UN (3) ISS (3) Hawiye (3) UAE (3) Oromia (3)
  • Published July 30, 2025

    Gedo has long served as a useful barometer for the health of relations between Nairobi, Mogadishu, and Addis. Straddling the tri-border Mandera Triangle, the Mareehaan-dominated region of Jubaland has been a key staging post for Al-Shabaab's continued infiltration into Kenya and Ethiopia for years. And as such, both Nairobi and Addis have a vested stake in Jubaland as a security buffer zone against the jihadists, developing close ties with key political actors within Gedo and the southern Federal Member State-- which they helped co-establish in 2013. Over a decade later, with Hassan Sheikh Mohamud back at the helm in Mogadishu, the focus has returned to Gedo, as he has resorted to a well-known destabilising playbook by attempting —and failing —to wrest the Mareehaan into Villa Somalia's orbit. But amid the government's months-long campaign to destabilise Gedo, including seizing Garbahaarey and Luuq from control of Jubaland to carve out Darood tents for its rigged elections, Addis has remained silent-- until now.

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