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  • The Somali Wire 273
  • The Ethiopian Cable 30
  • The Horn Edition 31
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  • Published October 7, 2022

    Kenya–Somalia relations are showing unexpected improvement under President William Ruto and Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud. Contrary to early predictions that Ruto would take a hardline stance, he has adopted a pragmatic and cooperative approach. Since taking office, Ruto has reaffirmed Kenya’s commitment to working with Somalia on shared priorities, including degrading Al-Shabaab, boosting cross-border security, and enhancing economic cooperation. A key agenda item is the miraa trade. Ruto seeks to streamline exports directly from Kenyan farmers to Somalia, cutting out middlemen who dominate the lucrative trade. While the outcome remains unclear, the move reflects his focus on supporting local producers while navigating sensitive political implications for Somalia. Ruto’s foreign policy toward Somalia emphasizes continuity, particularly in maintaining political influence in Jubaland, an area of strategic importance along the Somali–Kenyan border. The appointment of Aden Barre Duale, an ethnic Somali from the Ogadeen clan, as Kenya’s Defence Minister underscores this strategy. Although challenges remain, such as the unresolved maritime dispute and potential tensions over trade, early fears of a disruptive Kenyan foreign policy have proven unfounded. Instead, Ruto has emerged as a cautious yet creative leader, strengthening regional ties and fostering cooperation with Somalia.

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