Somalia is facing a deepening political and security crisis as two years of electoral manipulation, coercion, and corruption from Villa Somalia have undermined the legitimacy of the political process. The stalled and fraudulent elections risk triggering renewed instability, with growing fears of electoral fragmentation between government-controlled processes and opposition movements. Meanwhile, Ethiopia’s internal conflicts have led to a military redeployment, weakening security in critical southern regions such as Gedo and South West State. This shift leaves the tri-border area between Somalia, Kenya, and Ethiopia more vulnerable to Al-Shabaab’s expansion and cross-border attacks. Regional tensions are further fueled by strained diplomatic relations and competing security priorities. The situation poses significant risks to governance, national unity, and counter-terrorism efforts. If left unaddressed, Somalia could face another period of political breakdown and escalating violence. International partners, including the African Union and neighboring states, are urged to support an inclusive, transparent political process while strengthening security coordination. A stable and representative government is essential to counter insurgent threats, restore public trust, and protect Somalia’s fragile progress toward peace and state-building.