Somalia’s opposition alliance has taken a decisive step by forming the National Salvation Council (NSC) to lead efforts in completing the stalled electoral process. This bold initiative signals frustration with Villa Somalia’s evasive tactics and prolonged political wrangling, which have undermined trust and stalled the country’s democratic progress. Over two years of setbacks and unfulfilled dialogues have made it clear that Farmaajo’s administration is incapable of ensuring a fair and orderly vote. The NSC formation reflects the opposition’s intent to seize the initiative and pre-empt Farmaajo’s unilateral plans to extend his mandate by convening regional allies. By establishing this council, opposition forces aim to restore credibility to the electoral process and challenge attempts to dominate political dialogue. The council may also serve as a platform for broader stakeholder participation if international partners fail to mediate effectively. The NSC acts as a warning that Somalia’s political transition is inevitable. Its success depends on the willingness of Farmaajo to set aside his claim to the presidency and engage in inclusive talks as a candidate. International partners are urged to act as guarantors to ensure negotiations are fair, transparent, and peaceful. Ultimately, the NSC could shape a path toward either a consensual or coercive transition in Somalia.
Somalia’s opposition faces a critical moment as President Farmaajo consolidates his grip on power, taking advantage of weak international responses. Over recent weeks, the opposition has engaged in talks with caretaker Prime Minister Mohamed Hussein Roble, hoping to achieve democratic concessions. However, these efforts have largely been undermined by Villa Somalia, which perceives Roble’s negotiations as yielding too much. The opposition Council of Presidential Candidates finds itself adrift, with its restraint and peaceful gestures including suspending mass protests unreciprocated by both Farmaajo and international partners. Meanwhile, the term “spoiler” has been weaponized against the opposition, framing it as obstructive and enabling Farmaajo to maintain an upper hand. Farmaajo, emboldened by key international backers, continues to buy time, consolidate his illegal mandate extension, and manipulate the electoral process. With at least five months to influence polling outcomes, the opposition must craft a proactive strategy. This includes demanding Farmaajo’s resignation, safeguarding electoral fairness, and revitalizing peaceful civil disobedience to pressure the regime. Without decisive action, the opposition risks being marginalized and legitimizing Farmaajo’s undemocratic maneuvers. Crafting a robust, unified approach is essential to protect Somalia’s democratic process, limit electoral manipulation, and ensure a fair and transparent transition of power.