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Search
  • The Somali Wire 399
  • The Ethiopian Cable 31
  • The Horn Edition 31
Archive
Filter by tags
Somalia (43) Al Shabaab (37) Villa Somalia (32) Hassan Sheikh Mohamud (25) Farmaajo (22) Somalia politics (17) Puntland (17) Mogadishu (16) Ethiopia (16) Somalia elections (15) Somaliland (13) Somalia political crisis (12) Jubaland (10) Somalia crisis (8) Somali politics (8) NISA (8) Fahad Yasin (8) AUSSOM (7) Mohamed Hussein Roble (7) Abiy Ahmed (7) Somalia security (7) Tigray (7) Eritrea (7) Kenya (7) Sudan (6) SSC-Khaatumo (6) African Union (6) Somalia drought crisis (6) Somali opposition (6) TPLF (6) Amhara (6) Horn of Africa (6) Addis (6) USAID (5) Nairobi (5) OLA (5) HSM (5) Somali elections (5) Horn of Africa geopolitics (5) Somali culture (5) Somalia elections 2022 (5) South Sudan (5) Politics (5) Humanitarian (4) Conflict (4) US (4) Healthcare (4) China (4) Somali National Army (4) Somalia humanitarian crisis (4) Tigray Peoples Liberation Front (4) Federalism (4) Oromo Liberation Army (4) History (4) Poetry (4) Disarmament (3) Fano (3) Somalia elections 2021 (3) Federal Government (3) Women (3) Security (3) OPOV (3) Kenya Somalia relations (3) GERD (3) Elections (3) Fighting (3) RSF (3) Qatar (3) Gulf (3) Mogadishu bombing 2022 (3) Somali security forces (3) Troop Contributing Countries (3) Villa Somalia crisis (3) Mogadishu unrest (3) Somalia electoral crisis (3) PM Roble (3) Laas Aanood (3) Turkey Somalia relations (3) Diaspora (3) Madoobe (3) Oromo Liberation Front (3) OLF (3) Oromo (3) Awdheegle (3) UPDF (3) SNA (3) Operation Silent Storm (3) Horn of Africa drought (3) Economy (3) NCC (3) Ethiopia Somalia relations (3) UN (3) ISS (3) Hawiye (3) UAE (3) Oromia (3)
  • Published October 17, 2022

    Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud has launched his #NoTurningBack campaign, pledging to “totally eliminate” Al‑Shabaab. The military push, supported by Somali National Army forces, Ma’awiisley militias, and regional leaders, has reclaimed territory and boosted morale. HSM’s rhetoric has ignited public enthusiasm, but analysts caution against over‑promising results. Terrorism, as experts note, is a tactic—not an enemy that can be permanently eradicated. The jihadist ideology behind Al‑Shabaab will persist, especially among disaffected groups. Unrealistic promises risk political backlash if progress stalls. The campaign’s sustainability is also uncertain, with reports of faltering morale and logistical strain in some regions. Some officials’ extreme rhetoric—such as targeting insurgents’ families—could backfire, fueling unrest. Meanwhile, the government is targeting Al‑Shabaab’s finances, warning businesses against paying the group’s “taxtortion.” But dismantling the group’s vast economic networks too abruptly could destabilize Somalia’s economy and politics. Observers urge a smarter, strategic approach: a coherent stabilisation plan, donor engagement, and strengthened national security architecture. Fighting harder is not enough—Somalia must fight smarter to sustain gains against Al‑Shabaab and avoid repeating past counterinsurgency mistakes.

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