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  • The Somali Wire 294
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  • The Horn Edition 31
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  • Published April 12, 2022

    In early 2022, Somalia entered a deepening crisis fueled by multiple shocks: a fourth consecutive below average rainy season, the Ukraine war’s disruption of food and fuel supplies, and ongoing political paralysis. The Gu rains, vital for 75% of Somalia’s annual rainfall, are delayed and forecasts predict significant deficits, threatening agriculture and pastoral livelihoods. Already, 4.9 million people are affected, 719,000 displaced, and 1.4 million children face acute malnutrition. Somalia’s dependence on wheat imports from Ukraine over 90% compounds the crisis as global grain supplies tighten and prices soar. The UN warns famine could hit parts of southern and central Somalia if rains fail, prices rise further, and humanitarian aid remains inadequate. Despite the looming catastrophe, Somalia’s political elite remain consumed by protracted elections, diverting attention from emergency response. The 2022 Humanitarian Response Plan seeks $1.5 billion, but only 4.4% is funded. Experts urge a unified, state-led drought response to galvanize donor support and avert a repeat of the 2011 famine that killed 260,000 people.

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