Somalia is facing one of its most critical moments in recent years, with political tensions and security challenges converging into a volatile mix. Two years of electoral manipulation, bribery, and coercion by Villa Somalia have left the country’s political process in disarray, undermining public trust and creating a deep legitimacy crisis. Opposition factions remain highly dissatisfied, fueling the risk of parallel processes and further fragmentation. Compounding the political turmoil, Ethiopia has announced a significant redeployment of its troops from southern Somalia, abandoning key forward operating bases in regions like Gedo and South West State. This unexpected military shift will reshape the security landscape in the sensitive tri-border area between Somalia, Kenya, and Ethiopia. The move could embolden militant groups, weaken local security forces, and strain regional counterterrorism efforts. As electoral disputes escalate and military dynamics shift, Somalia faces an uncertain future. Without urgent political compromise, credible elections, and coordinated security strategies, the country risks sliding into deeper instability. This situation has far-reaching implications, not only for Somalia’s internal stability but also for the broader Horn of Africa region.